Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
61.56% ( 0.02) | 22.41% ( -0.01) | 16.02% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.23% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.74% ( -0.02) | 51.26% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.91% ( -0.02) | 73.09% ( 0.02) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.82% ( 0) | 16.18% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.34% | 45.65% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.16% ( -0.04) | 44.84% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.19% ( -0.03) | 80.8% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.89% Total : 61.55% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.02% |
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