With little to offer by way of a goal threat, Arnautovic aside, Bologna cannot afford to concede too often this season. Milan's growing depth in the final third should see them break through at some stage, and the champions should then coast home to three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Bologna
71.06% ( 0.22)	18.34% ( -0.11)	10.59% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 43.83% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77% (

0.19)

46.23% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48% (

0.18)

68.52% (

-0.18)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.28% (

0.11)

11.72% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.16% (

0.24)

36.84% (

-0.24)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.64% (

-0.07)

50.35% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.1% (

-0.05)

84.9% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 71.06%

Bologna 10.59%

Draw 18.34%

AC Milan	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 13.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 71.06%	1-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 18.34%	0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 10.59%