Milan may have underwhelmed in the transfer market, but they have a clearly defined way of playing and it has proven effective across the past two years.
A home game against relatively modest opponents should be a gift, then, to start the new season, but Udinese can be tricky customers and will not be easily dispatched.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
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