SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.2%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.8% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 3-1 (7.08%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Sevilla |
59.2% ( -0.04) | 20% ( 0) | 20.8% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 63.55% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.23% ( 0.04) | 32.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.54% ( 0.04) | 54.46% ( -0.04) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.06% | 10.94% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.85% ( 0) | 35.14% ( 0) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( 0.05) | 28.64% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.55% ( 0.06) | 64.45% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 59.2% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.13% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 20% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 20.8% |
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