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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 3-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sevilla |
69.44% ( 0.12) | 16.76% ( -0.43) | 13.8% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( 2.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.97% ( 3.01) | 30.03% ( -3.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.77% ( 3.55) | 51.23% ( -3.55) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.18% ( 0.78) | 7.82% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.24% ( 1.97) | 27.75% ( -1.97) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% ( 2.47) | 34.46% ( -2.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% ( 2.55) | 71.17% ( -2.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.81)3-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.38)1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.93)4-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.34)4-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.31)5-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.23)5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.2)6-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.14)6-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.03% Total : 69.44% | 1-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.48)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.76% | 1-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.35% Total : 13.8% |
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