SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Arsenal |
29.11% ( -1.45) | 26.01% ( -0.2) | 44.88% ( 1.64) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( 0.15) | 52.14% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% ( 0.13) | 73.86% ( -0.13) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% ( -0.97) | 32.46% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% ( -1.11) | 68.98% ( 1.11) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( 0.86) | 23.16% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( 1.24) | 57.03% ( -1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.11% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.88% |
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