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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
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Sampdoria
1 - 3
Atalanta

Caputo (10')
Thorsby (26'), Askildsen (29'), Colley (36'), Chabot (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Askildsen (17' og.), Zapata (21'), Ilicic (90+5')
Luis Palomino (14'), Ilicic (64'), Freuler (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.45%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 21.53% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 0-1 (7.93%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawAtalanta BC
21.53%21.02%57.45%
Both teams to score 60.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.25%36.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.09%58.91%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7%30.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53%66.47%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.33%12.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.16%38.84%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 21.53%
    Atalanta BC 57.45%
    Draw 21.02%
SampdoriaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 5.65%
1-0 @ 4.58%
2-0 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.33%
3-1 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 21.53%
1-1 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 5.84%
0-0 @ 3.84%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.02%
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-2 @ 8.19%
0-1 @ 7.93%
1-3 @ 6.74%
0-3 @ 5.64%
2-3 @ 4.02%
1-4 @ 3.48%
0-4 @ 2.92%
2-4 @ 2.08%
1-5 @ 1.44%
0-5 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 57.45%

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