SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.83%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
55.83% ( -0.13) | 21.03% ( 0) | 23.13% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 63.2% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.28% ( 0.12) | 34.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.32% ( 0.13) | 56.67% ( -0.14) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.52% ( -0) | 12.47% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.55% ( 0) | 38.44% ( -0.01) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.16) | 27.79% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.62% ( 0.21) | 63.37% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 55.83% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.03% | 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 23.13% |
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