SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.35%) and 0-1 (4.87%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Bayern Munich |
35.19% ( -3.08) | 21.54% ( 0.56) | 43.26% ( 2.51) |
| Both teams to score 70.7% ( -2.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.25% ( -3.44) | 28.75% ( 3.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.33% ( -4.35) | 49.67% ( 4.34) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.5% ( -2.81) | 17.5% ( 2.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52% ( -5.14) | 48% ( 5.14) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.69% ( -0.52) | 14.3% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.88% ( -1.02) | 42.12% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.5)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.39)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.42)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.3)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.79) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.38)0-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.48)Other @ 0.66% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.62) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.31)0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.86)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.76)2-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.44)1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.19)3-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.21)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.65% Total : 43.26% |
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