SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
58.06% ( 0.72) | 22.51% ( -0.2) | 19.43% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( 0.16) | 46.42% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( 0.15) | 68.71% ( -0.15) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( 0.3) | 15.7% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.24% ( 0.55) | 44.76% ( -0.55) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.09% ( -0.46) | 37.9% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.32% ( -0.44) | 74.68% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 58.05% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.5% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.55% Total : 19.43% |
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