With just 180 minutes separating Dynamo Kiev and Benfica from a place in the Champions League group stages, we expect a thrilling contest, with both sides taking the game to each other in search of a vital first-leg win. The Portuguese side head into the tie firing on all cylinders and we are backing them to maintain their fine run and see off the home side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.93%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
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