SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | AC Milan |
49.7% ( -0.25) | 22.66% ( 0.19) | 27.64% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.16% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.81% ( -0.87) | 38.19% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.53% ( -0.94) | 60.46% ( 0.94) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( -0.4) | 15.63% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.35% ( -0.76) | 44.65% ( 0.76) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0.42) | 26.32% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.54% ( -0.56) | 61.45% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.82% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.64% |
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