SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
26.53% ( 0) | 19.88% ( 0) | 53.59% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 71.72% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.61% ( -0) | 25.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.58% ( -0.01) | 45.42% ( 0.01) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( 0) | 20.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.36% ( 0) | 52.64% ( 0) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.97% ( -0) | 10.03% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.91% ( -0.01) | 33.09% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.64% 1-0 @ 3.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.17% 2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.45% 3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.26% 4-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.73% Total : 26.53% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.85% 3-3 @ 2.79% 0-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.88% | 1-2 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.38% 2-3 @ 5.25% 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.12% 1-4 @ 3.78% ( -0)2-4 @ 3.02% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.37% 1-5 @ 1.74% 3-4 @ 1.61% 2-5 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 4.02% Total : 53.59% |
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