Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
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