SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.34%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Heidenheim |
58.34% ( -0.01) | 20.32% ( 0.01) | 21.34% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 63.21% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.41% ( -0.04) | 33.59% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.6% ( -0.04) | 55.4% ( 0.05) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.58% ( -0.01) | 11.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.81% ( -0.03) | 36.19% ( 0.03) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% ( -0.02) | 28.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.54% ( -0.02) | 64.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.32% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.26% Total : 21.34% |
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