Leipzig will be determined to bounce back from their league defeat on Saturday, and we are backing the German side to triumph. Shakhtar certainly have the quality to cause problems, but Leipzig should just have enough to pick up an important three points in their section opener.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
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