SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Brugge | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
35.36% ( 0.83) | 23.54% ( -0.12) | 41.1% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 62.95% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.16% ( 0.77) | 38.84% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.85% ( 0.8) | 61.15% ( -0.79) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( 0.8) | 22.03% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.65% ( 1.19) | 55.35% ( -1.18) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( 0.02) | 19.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49% ( 0.02) | 51% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Brugge | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.36% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.35% Total : 41.1% |
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