SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
67.63% ( 0.26) | 18.48% ( -0.09) | 13.89% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.6% ( -0) | 38.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.31% ( -0) | 60.68% ( 0.01) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.57% ( 0.07) | 10.43% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66% ( 0.15) | 34% ( -0.14) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.14% ( -0.25) | 39.86% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.48% ( -0.23) | 76.52% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.57% Total : 67.63% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.48% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.74% Total : 13.89% |
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