Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Inter Milan |
43.78% ( 0.4) | 23.28% ( -0.2) | 32.94% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 63.18% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.76% ( 0.89) | 38.23% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.49% ( 0.93) | 60.51% ( -0.93) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.11% ( 0.52) | 17.89% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.33% ( 0.89) | 48.67% ( -0.89) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( 0.31) | 23.06% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.11% ( 0.45) | 56.88% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Inter Milan |
2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.85% Total : 43.78% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.94% |
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