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Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
IL

Benfica
0 - 2
Inter Milan


Silva (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barella (51'), Lukaku (82' pen.)
Brozovic (50'), Dzeko (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawInter Milan
43.78% (0.399 0.4) 23.28% (-0.197 -0.2) 32.94% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 63.18% (0.648 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (0.886 0.89)38.23% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.49% (0.933 0.93)60.51% (-0.93 -0.93)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (0.523 0.52)17.89% (-0.519 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (0.89 0.89)48.67% (-0.886 -0.89)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.306 0.31)23.06% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (0.447 0.45)56.88% (-0.443 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 43.78%
    Inter Milan 32.94%
    Draw 23.28%
BenficaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.099 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.58% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.12% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Porto
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Benfica
Sunday, April 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-3 Benfica
Sunday, March 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Brugge
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Famalicao
Friday, March 3 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Inter Milan
Friday, April 7 at 4pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Inter Milan
Tuesday, April 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Fiorentina
Saturday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Juventus
Sunday, March 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Inter Milan
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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