Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.