SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 24 | 23 | 52 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 24 | 19 | 45 |
| 3 | Derry City | 23 | 18 | 43 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
35.85% ( 0.31) | 24.16% ( -0.01) | 39.99% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 60.72% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.22% ( 0.09) | 41.78% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.81% ( 0.09) | 64.19% ( -0.08) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( 0.21) | 23.11% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.03% ( 0.3) | 56.97% ( -0.3) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( -0.11) | 21.03% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.18% ( -0.17) | 53.82% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.85% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 39.99% |
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