SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 23 | 23 | 51 |
| 2 | Derry City | 23 | 18 | 43 |
| 3 | Dundalk | 23 | 16 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
38.64% ( 0.02) | 24.82% ( -0) | 36.53% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.37% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.14% ( -0) | 44.85% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.79% ( -0) | 67.2% ( -0) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( 0.01) | 23.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.14% ( 0.01) | 56.85% ( -0.02) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( -0.01) | 24.15% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% ( -0.02) | 58.46% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0)2-0 @ 6% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.64% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.53% |
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