SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Molde in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Molde.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
64.39% ( 1.43) | 19.38% ( -0.6) | 16.23% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.35% ( 1.29) | 37.65% ( -1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.11% ( 1.37) | 59.89% ( -1.36) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.96% ( 0.76) | 11.04% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.63% ( 1.65) | 35.37% ( -1.64) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( -0.18) | 36.32% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% ( -0.18) | 73.1% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.15)Other @ 4.46% Total : 64.39% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.38% | 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.36% Total : 16.23% |
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