HJK will be desperate to make full use of home advantage in the first leg, but we think that they will have to be content with a draw against a Molde side who have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent times after winning six and drawing one of their last seven games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
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