SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 14.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.79%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Lahti |
63.47% ( 0.01) | 22.02% ( -0) | 14.51% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.06% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.67% ( -0) | 52.33% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.98% | 74.02% ( 0) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.09% ( 0) | 15.91% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.84% ( 0) | 45.15% ( -0) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.4% ( -0.01) | 47.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.06% ( -0.01) | 82.93% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.79% 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.82% 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.86% Total : 63.46% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.01% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 14.51% |
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