Benfica will be licking their lips as they take on a Maritimo side who have endured a horror start to the season. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, and their contrasting form, we are backing Schmidt's side to coast to all three points in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 81.28%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.68%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Maritimo
81.28% ( 0.12)	12.54% ( 0.12)	6.18% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 44.17% (

-2.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.65% (

-1.81)

34.35% (

1.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.74% (

-2.07)

56.26% (

2.07)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.55% (

-0.34)

6.44% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.89% (

-0.95)

24.11% (

0.96)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.21% (

-2.07)

52.79% (

2.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.48% (

-1.36)

86.52% (

1.36)

Score Analysis

Benfica 81.26%

Maritimo 6.18%

Draw 12.54%

Benfica	Draw	Maritimo
2-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.68) 3-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.21) 6-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.18) 6-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) Other @ 4.19% Total : 81.26%	1-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.57% Total : 12.54%	0-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.11% Total : 6.18%