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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 20, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Stadion

Rapid Vienna
2 - 1
Sparta Prague

Knasmullner (63', 71')
Ullmann (23'), Wimmer (33'), Stojkovic (41'), Grahovac (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Krejci (3')
Stetina (17'), Hancko (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 23.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rapid Vienna in this match.

Result
Rapid ViennaDrawSparta Prague
54.47%22.17%23.36%
Both teams to score 59.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.07%39.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.71%62.29%
Rapid Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35%14.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.22%42.78%
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5%30.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29%66.71%
Score Analysis
    Rapid Vienna 54.47%
    Sparta Prague 23.36%
    Draw 22.16%
Rapid ViennaDrawSparta Prague
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 8.24%
3-1 @ 6.27%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 3.01%
4-0 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 1.79%
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 4.47%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 6.05%
0-1 @ 5.3%
0-2 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 23.36%

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