SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Porto |
34.34% ( -0.05) | 26.36% ( 0.1) | 39.29% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% ( -0.43) | 51.89% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% ( -0.38) | 73.64% ( 0.37) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( -0.24) | 28.76% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( -0.3) | 64.6% ( 0.29) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( -0.23) | 25.88% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% ( -0.31) | 60.86% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.34% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.29% |
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