Still licking their wounds from Wednesday's Champions League defeat, Porto will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result. While Portimonense appear to have hit their stride, Porto's record in this fixture makes them firm favourites to come away with all three points and we fancy them extending their dominance over the Alvinegros.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
1.08) 
-0.46) 
