SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
45.81% ( 0.25) | 23.24% ( 0.05) | 30.95% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 62.38% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% ( -0.38) | 38.89% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.8% ( -0.4) | 61.2% ( 0.4) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( -0.05) | 17.34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.28% ( -0.09) | 47.72% ( 0.1) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( -0.36) | 24.53% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.99% ( -0.51) | 59.01% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.04% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.95% |
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