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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
SL

Alaves
4 - 3
Sevilla

Rioja (7'), Duarte (44'), Kike (54', 59')
Gorosabel (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Abqar (15' og.), Lamela (41'), Mir (90+7')
Gudelj (62'), Torres (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Alaves
Monday, August 14 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Sevilla (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 16 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

We said: Alaves 1-2 Sevilla

Sevilla will have been encouraged by their performance against Man City last time out, and they will be desperate to bounce back from their opening-weekend loss in La Liga. Alaves are capable of making this a very tough match for Sevilla, but we are backing the visitors to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawSevilla
40.85% (1.085 1.09) 27.85% (0.562 0.56) 31.3% (-1.647 -1.65)
Both teams to score 47.43% (-2.141 -2.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66% (-2.475 -2.48)58.34% (2.474 2.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (-1.978 -1.98)78.96% (1.976 1.98)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.569 -0.57)28.04% (0.569 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.73 -0.73)63.7% (0.729 0.73)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91% (-2.436 -2.44)34.09% (2.436 2.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22% (-2.708 -2.71)70.77% (2.708 2.71)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 40.84%
    Sevilla 31.29%
    Draw 27.86%
AlavesDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 12.15% (0.92 0.92)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.469 0.47)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.149 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 40.84%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.863 0.86)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.327 -0.33)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 10.28% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.394 -0.39)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.325 -0.33)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.236 -0.24)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 31.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Alaves
Monday, August 14 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Levante 0-1 Alaves
Saturday, June 17 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 0-0 Levante
Sunday, June 11 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 2-0 Eibar
Thursday, June 8 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Eibar 1-1 Alaves
Saturday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-0 Alaves
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Sevilla (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 16 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup
Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Valencia
Friday, August 11 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, August 6 at 3am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Sevilla (0-1 pen.)
Monday, July 31 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Independiente (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, July 19 at 9pm in UEFA CONMEBOL Club Challenge
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-1 Sevilla
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga


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