SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Sporting Lisbon | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Estoril Praia | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Manchester City | 6 | 14 | 14 |
| 3 | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 6 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
33.49% ( 0.06) | 23.91% ( 0.01) | 42.6% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 61.06% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.9% ( -0.01) | 41.09% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.51% ( -0.01) | 63.48% ( 0.01) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( 0.03) | 24.1% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% ( 0.05) | 58.39% ( -0.05) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -0.04) | 19.55% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.54% ( -0.06) | 51.46% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.49% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 42.6% |
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