SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
29.22% ( 0.04) | 24% ( -0.01) | 46.78% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.59% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( 0.06) | 43.42% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.19% ( 0.06) | 65.81% ( -0.06) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( 0.05) | 27.91% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% ( 0.07) | 63.53% ( -0.07) |
| Rapid Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.27% ( 0.02) | 18.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.9% ( 0.02) | 50.1% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.22% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.23% 0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 46.78% |
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