Preston
0 - 0
Derby

Johnson (5'), Storey (62')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

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Match Stats

Player Stats

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Derby County
44.28%	27.82%	27.89%

Both teams to score 45.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.54%

59.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.18%

79.82%

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28%

26.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.01%

61.98%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.69%

37.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.9%

74.09%

Score Analysis

Preston North End 44.28%

Derby County 27.89%

Draw 27.82%

Preston North End	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 13.15% 2-0 @ 8.68% 2-1 @ 8.56% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.94% Total : 44.28%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.82%	0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.74% Total : 27.89%