Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
