With Birmingham having finally ended their dismal run against second-tier opposition, they will be confident of progressing through to the fifth round. However, Blackburn have history of bouncing back from disappointing results, and we feel that they could edge this contest, potentially after extra time.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%).
0.37) 
-0.23) 
