SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Birmingham City |
54.32% ( -0.04) | 22.9% ( 0.03) | 22.78% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.09% ( -0.11) | 43.91% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.7% ( -0.11) | 66.3% ( 0.11) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( -0.05) | 16.09% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.52% ( -0.1) | 45.48% ( 0.1) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( -0.04) | 33.2% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.19% ( -0.05) | 69.81% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 54.32% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.78% |
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