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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
BL

Sunderland
3 - 1
Birmingham

Bellingham (17'), Sanderson (57' og.), Aouchiche (76')
Roberts (39'), Hume (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Miyoshi (30')
Laird (18'), James (46')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham City

Sunderland have struggled at the Stadium of Light at points so far this season, but the visit of an out-of-form Birmingham side represents a good chance to collect maximum points. Blues are improving slowly as the squad gets accustomed to Rooney's style of play, although we do not believe that a maiden victory for the new boss is on the cards this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
54.32% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 22.9% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 22.78% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.05% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09% (-0.11 -0.11)43.91% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7% (-0.107 -0.11)66.3% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)16.09% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)45.48% (0.101 0.1)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)33.2% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)69.81% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 54.32%
    Birmingham City 22.78%
    Draw 22.9%
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.32%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 5.89% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-2 Hull City
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 West Brom
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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