SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Cardiff City |
42.32% ( 0.12) | 25.3% ( 0.06) | 32.37% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% ( -0.31) | 47.84% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( -0.28) | 70.02% ( 0.29) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0.07) | 22.52% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( -0.11) | 56.1% ( 0.12) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( -0.26) | 28.02% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.33% ( -0.34) | 63.67% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.32% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.37% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
