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HL
Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
CC

Hull City
4 - 1
Cardiff

Belloumi (22', 35'), Zambrano (51'), Bedia (90+1' pen.)
McLoughlin (28'), Slater (69'), Mehlem (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Robinson (18')
Fish (13'), Collins (22'), O'Dowda (57'), Ng (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Hull City
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 2-0 Cardiff City

Hull City should take plenty of confidence from their first victory of the season last time out, and they will hope to kick on against a Cardiff City side reeling from the departure of their manager and a poor start to the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawCardiff City
42.32% (0.121 0.12) 25.3% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 32.37% (-0.176 -0.18)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.257 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (-0.308 -0.31)47.84% (0.311 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (-0.284 -0.28)70.02% (0.286 0.29)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)22.52% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (-0.111 -0.11)56.1% (0.115 0.12)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (-0.262 -0.26)28.02% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.33% (-0.336 -0.34)63.67% (0.339 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 42.32%
    Cardiff City 32.37%
    Draw 25.3%
Hull CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.32%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Hull City
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Sheff Utd
Friday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, August 14 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 3-5 Southampton
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Cardiff
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 5-0 Cardiff
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship


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