SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Huddersfield Town had a probability of 6.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.92%) and 3-0 (12.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Huddersfield Town win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Huddersfield Town |
78.24% ( -0.04) | 15.04% ( 0.02) | 6.72% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 37.85% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.56% ( -0.08) | 44.44% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.19% ( -0.08) | 66.81% ( 0.07) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.61% ( -0.03) | 9.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.41% ( -0.07) | 31.59% ( 0.06) |
| Huddersfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.77% ( -0.03) | 58.23% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 10.28% ( -0.01) | 89.71% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Huddersfield Town |
| 2-0 @ 15.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 8.27% 4-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.33% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 78.22% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 15.04% | 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 6.72% |
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