SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Burnley |
37.06% ( 0.1) | 26.53% ( 0.05) | 36.41% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( -0.21) | 52.42% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( -0.18) | 74.1% ( 0.18) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0.04) | 27.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( -0.06) | 62.85% ( 0.06) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( -0.19) | 27.76% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.67% ( -0.24) | 63.33% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 37.06% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.41% |
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