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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
WB

Burnley
2 - 1
West Brom

Tella (75'), Twine (87')
Maatsen (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Furlong (7')
Furlong (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Burnley have been unbeatable at home so far this season but now clash with a West Brom side who are firing under Corberan after a difficult spell with Bruce. The Baggies face their toughest assignment since Corberan took charge on Friday night at Turf Moor and you get the feeling they would take a respectable point to keep their unbeaten run going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
56.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 23.94% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 19.69% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08% (0.026000000000003 0.03)51.92% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (0.023 0.02)73.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)18.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)49.3% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)77.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 56.36%
    West Bromwich Albion 19.69%
    Draw 23.93%
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.36%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Burnley
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Burnley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Burnley
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: West Brom 4-0 Chesterfield
Tuesday, January 17 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Luton 2-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Reading
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Preston
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-2 West Brom
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship


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