SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Burnley |
39.41% ( -0.09) | 26.77% ( -0.21) | 33.82% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% ( 0.91) | 53.66% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% ( 0.76) | 75.15% ( -0.76) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( 0.37) | 26.63% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( 0.49) | 61.87% ( -0.49) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.65) | 29.97% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% ( 0.78) | 66.08% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 39.4% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.11)Other @ 1% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.82% |
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