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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
PN

Burnley
3 - 0
Preston

Tella (15', 55', 58')
Beyer (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCann (28'), Delap (57'), Lindsay (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Burnley 3-0 Preston North End

Unless Preston pull off the performance of the current Championship campaign, this should be one-way traffic. Although Burnley were not at their best in midweek, they have generally been relentless at Turf Moor, giving us every confidence that they will prevail with minimal fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 9.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
72.03% (0.043000000000006 0.04) 18.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 9.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 38.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34% (0.042000000000002 0.04)50.66% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (0.037000000000003 0.04)72.57% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.27% (0.025000000000006 0.03)12.73% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.03% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.97% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.34% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)55.66% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)88.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 72.02%
    Preston North End 9.37%
    Draw 18.6%
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
2-0 @ 15.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 14.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.33% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 72.02%
1-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 9.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Burnley
Saturday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 West Brom
Friday, January 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Preston 1-2 Bristol City
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-3 Spurs
Saturday, January 28 at 6pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Preston
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Preston
Monday, January 2 at 3.15pm in Championship


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