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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
ML

Cardiff
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Kaba (25')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Lenihan (72'), Archer (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Cardiff are still searching for their maiden victory under Lamouchi and now face a tricky test against an in-form Middlesbrough side. Boro will be looking to cement their place in the playoffs this weekend and will fancy their chances against a Cardiff side yet to get firing under their new management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
34.71% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 26.76% (0.032 0.03) 38.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.52% (-0.128 -0.13)53.48% (0.132 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25% (-0.11 -0.11)75% (0.113 0.11)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)29.31% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)65.27% (0.101 0.1)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)27.04% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)62.4% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.71%
    Middlesbrough 38.53%
    Draw 26.76%
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 5-2 Cardiff
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-2 Leeds
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-0 Blackpool
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Watford
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Middlesbrough
Sunday, January 22 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-5 Brighton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Middlesbrough
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship


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