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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
NL

Stoke
0 - 0
Norwich


Wilmot (17'), Pearson (52')
FT

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Norwich City

Stoke continue a tough run of fixtures by welcoming Norwich to the bet365 Stadium on Saturday, although they will be confident of extending their unbeaten run to four games following impressive performances over the past week. The Canaries suffered a disappointing result and more injury setbacks at Huddersfield in the week, and we feel those circumstances could contribute to another poor showing this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
31.98% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 26.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 41.21% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.77% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (0.023000000000003 0.02)54.21% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)75.61% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.85% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.016000000000005 0.02)25.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)60.9% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 31.98%
    Norwich City 41.21%
    Draw 26.8%
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.98%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 11.01%
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 41.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Stoke
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-2 Blackburn
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-5 Stoke
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Brighton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, March 12 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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