SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 80%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 6.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.64%) and 1-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Reading |
80% ( -0.06) | 13.39% ( 0.03) | 6.61% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.31% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.18% ( -0.08) | 36.82% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41% ( -0.08) | 58.99% ( 0.08) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.77% ( -0.03) | 7.23% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.79% ( -0.07) | 26.21% ( 0.07) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.69% ( 0.01) | 53.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.15% ( 0) | 86.85% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Reading |
| 2-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 79.98% | 1-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 13.39% | 0-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 6.62% |
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