SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Watford |
48.46% ( -0.01) | 25.9% ( -0) | 25.63% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.21% ( 0.02) | 53.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% ( 0.02) | 75.25% ( -0.02) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% | 22.21% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.37% ( 0) | 55.62% ( -0.01) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.89% ( 0.02) | 36.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.11% ( 0.02) | 72.88% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 25.63% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
