Stoke have not started 2023 in the best fashion and considerable pressure will be on Neil to earn all three points against a Reading side who have been prone to self-destruction away from home.
The Royals' squad took a further beating last weekend with injuries to Hutchinson, Carroll and Long, which could contribute to a disappointing result in Staffordshire this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
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