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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
ML

Bristol City
4 - 3
Millwall

Mehmeti (3'), Armstrong (12'), Mayulu (78'), Twine (88')
Sykes (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Esse (51'), Bradshaw (54' pen.), Watmore (64')
De Norre (49'), Jensen (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Millwall

As two outside playoff candidates, both teams will recognise the importance of getting a win on the board. However, we feel that they could play out a hard-fought stalemate which may not feature many goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
44.97% (-0.723 -0.72) 28.52% (0.228 0.23) 26.51% (0.497 0.5)
Both teams to score 43.26% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.6% (-0.474 -0.47)62.4% (0.476 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.97% (-0.348 -0.35)82.03% (0.35000000000001 0.35)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)27.75% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (-0.777 -0.78)63.32% (0.778 0.78)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.88% (0.168 0.17)40.12% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24% (0.153 0.15)76.76% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 44.97%
    Millwall 26.5%
    Draw 28.51%
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 14.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 11.13% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.51%
0-1 @ 10.16% (0.217 0.22)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 26.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Coventry
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Willem II
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, July 27 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-3 Bristol City
Friday, July 26 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Aldershot 0-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Watford
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, August 3 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Colchester
Tuesday, July 30 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Murcia 1-2 Millwall
Friday, July 26 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Millwall
Tuesday, July 23 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3


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