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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Carrow Road
BL

Norwich
0 - 1
Blackburn


Aarons (22'), Hugill (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vale (31')
Carter (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Watford
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Cardiff
Sunday, January 1 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers

Regardless of whether Wagner is in charge at the weekend, you would have to expect Norwich's squad to react positively to the appointment. With that in mind, we feel that the Canaries may be able to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
58.28% (0.606 0.61) 22.6% (-0.19 -0.19) 19.12% (-0.42 -0.42)
Both teams to score 51.53% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (0.22 0.22)47.25% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (0.203 0.2)69.48% (-0.206 -0.21)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (0.28099999999999 0.28)15.91% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85% (0.518 0.52)45.15% (-0.521 -0.52)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28% (-0.327 -0.33)38.72% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (-0.312 -0.31)75.46% (0.309 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 58.27%
    Blackburn Rovers 19.12%
    Draw 22.6%
Norwich CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.4% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.93% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.6%
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.1% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 19.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Watford
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Reading
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Norwich
Monday, December 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Cardiff
Sunday, January 1 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-2 Middlesbrough
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Blackburn
Monday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-4 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-4 Preston
Saturday, December 10 at 12pm in Championship


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